value of a human corpus rises with synthetic share
V(corpus) ∝ H / (H + S) as S → ∞, human-verified text becomes the constraint
H = human-authored tokens on the open web S = synthetic tokens on the open web
gloss: every model release increases S. H grows only as fast as people live and post. Scarcity is structural.
This is a ratio, not a count. The absolute amount of human text on the open web is still growing. What is falling is its share, because the denominator has a new term and that term compounds.
S grows with compute. Every model release makes synthetic text cheaper to produce and harder to tell apart. Content farms, SEO pages, auto-generated reviews, summaries of summaries. None of it needs a person to have lived anything. It scales with GPUs.
H grows with lives. Human-authored text is bounded by the number of people who experienced something and bothered to write it down. That rate is roughly constant. It does not respond to a funding round.
So as S goes to infinity, the ratio H / (H + S) goes to zero, and anything that can reliably find H inside the pile becomes the constraint. Not the model. Not the compute. The verified human text.
Two consequences:
- Anyone training a model wants a clean source of H, dated and attributable, because training on S degrades the next model.
- Anyone using a model wants a clean source of H to check the answer against, because S is exactly what the model already sounds like.
A public, searchable, voted archive of H is the scarce asset in both cases. That is the whole argument for pairing HI with RDDT, and it is a scarcity argument, not a price prediction. $HI is a token on the HI/RDDT pair, not Reddit stock (NYSE: RDDT).
3 comments
static thread, nothing to reply toI write product reviews for a living. Half my inbox now is people asking me to "humanize" text a model wrote. S is going up inside my own inbox.
H also includes a lot of junk. Not every human post is signal.
Correct, and that is why the first formula has C in it. Voting and replies are the junk filter. Nothing about H being scarce means all of H is good.